Consolidated Calendar
| Date | 10/12/2020 | 10/13/2020 | 10/14/2020 | 10/15/2020 | 10/16/2020 |
| USA | CPI | Jobless Claims, Debate | Retail Sales, Michigan CSI JPY | ||
| JPY | Industrial Prod | ||||
| GBP | Governor Bailey’s Speech | Claimant Count Change, Unemployment Rate | |||
| CAN | 10/15 BoC Lane’s Speech | ||||
| AUS | Governor Lowe’s Speech, Employment Change, Employment Rate |
Correlation Table
DXY
Major Pairs
USD/JPY
Last Close: 105.62
Trend Chart: Short
Price Basket: Long
Yield Curve: Long
CoT: Short
Key Levels:
- Resistance: 105.69
- Support: 105.61
Central Banks Stance:
- FED – Dovish (Short)
- BoJ – Dovish (Long)
5-Day ADR (80, 95 confidence intervals): 0.47, 0.50
Geopolitical Risk
- USA – Stimulus talks, election and debate status, trade tensions
- JPN – New Prime Minister, trade tensions
Overall Outlook: Short, currency seems pretty independent of correlations.
GBP/USD
Last Close: 1.3046
Trend Chart: Neutral
Price Basket: Long
Yield Curve: Short
CoT: Both Short
Key Levels:
- Resistance: 1.3046
- Support: 1.2970
Central Banks Stance:
- BoE: Dovish
5-Day ADR (80, 95 confidence intervals): 0.0119, 0.0126
Geopolitical Risk:
- UK: Brexit Negotiations
Overall Outlook: Long, but bad news on the Brexit front will override the current direction
Commodity Pairs
USD/CAD
Last Close: 1.3121
Trend Chart: Neutral
Price Basket: Short
Yield Curve: Short
CoT: Both Short
Key Levels:
- Resistance: 1.3357
- Support: 1.3196
Central Banks Stance:
- BoC: Dovish
5-Day ADR (80, 95 confidence intervals): 0.0082, 0.0096
Commodity Stance:
- Metals: Short
- Oil/Energy: Short
Geopolitical Risk: N/A
Overall Outlook: Short, but mindful that the low of the year was around 1.2950, which we are near.
AUD/USD
Last Close: 0.7241
Trend Chart: Neutral
Price Basket: Long
Yield Curve: Short
CoT: Long
Key Levels:
- Resistance: 0.7245
- Support: 0.7130
Central Banks Stance:
- RBA: Dovish
5-Day ADR (80, 95 confidence intervals): 0.0081, 0.0089
Commodity Stance:
- Metals: Long
Geopolitical Risk: N/A
Overall Outlook: Long, but mindful of this years high of 0.7411