Consolidated Calendar
| 10/05/2020 | 10/06/2020 | 10/07/2020 | 10/08/2020 | 10/09/2020 | |
| USA | PMI | Trade Balance, JOLTS Jobs, Chairman Powell Speech | FOMC Minutes | Initial Claims | |
| JPY | Current Account | ||||
| GBP | Manufacturing Prod, Industrial Prod, GDP (MoM) | ||||
| CAN | Ivey Purchasing Managers Index | Governor Maclam Speech | Unemployment Rate, Change in Employment | ||
| AUS | Trade Balance, RBA Interest Rate Release | Budget Release |
DXY
Major Pairs
USD/JPY
Last Close: 105.32
Trend Chart: Short
Price Basket: Short
Yield Curve: Neutral/Mixed
CoT: Short
Key Levels:
- Resistance: 106.94, 105.69
- Support: 104.92
Central Banks Stance:
- FED – Dovish (Short)
- BoJ – Dovish (Long)
5-Day ADR (80, 95 confidence intervals): 0.53, 0.58
Geopolitical Risk
- USA – President has Covid-19, US election approaches, US-China trade tensions
- JPN – New Prime Minister, Trade tensions
Overall Outlook: Long, though BoJ currency intervention is strong market force
GBP/USD
Last Close: 1.2936
Trend Chart: Neutral
Price Basket: Short
Yield Curve: Long
CoT: Both Short
Key Levels:
- Resistance: 1.2963, 1.2940
- Support: 1.2763
Central Banks Stance:
- BoE: Dovish
5-Day ADR (80, 95 confidence intervals): 0.0154, 0.0164
Geopolitical Risk:
- UK: Brexit Negotiations
Overall Outlook: Short, but currently in bullish breakout
Commodity Pairs
USD/CAD
Last Close: 1.3307
Trend Chart: Neutral
Price Basket: Short
Yield Curve: Long
CoT: Both Short
Key Levels:
- Resistance: 1.3392, 1.3373
- Support: 1.3282, 1.3210
Central Banks Stance:
- BoC: Dovish
5-Day ADR (80, 95 confidence intervals): 0.0083, 0.0091
Commodity Stance:
- Metals: Short
- Oil/Energy: Short
Geopolitical Risk: N/A
Overall Outlook: Long, especially if commodity prices stay depressed
AUD/USD
Last Close: 0.7162
Trend Chart: Neutral
Price Basket: Long
Yield Curve: Long
CoT: Long
Key Levels:
- Resistance: 0.7377, 0.7231
- Support: 0.7016, 0.7046
Central Banks Stance:
- RBA: Dovish
5-Day ADR (80, 95 confidence intervals): 0.0066, 0.0069
Commodity Stance:
- Metals: Short
Geopolitical Risk: N/A
Overall Outlook: Neutral